Sevilla - Villarreal (Spain Primera). 13-03-2016. Corners preview

Central match of 29^th game week of Spanish Primera Division will be Sevilla- Villarreal match. Sevilla’s players will try to beat their opponents at home and to approach to 4^th league place. Bookies consider that the hosts will be obvious favorites on corners. But will be this true? Let’s find out.

 First of all, look at Sevilla’s corners stats. The team plays not bad – they won 8 of 14 matches on corners. The team has one of the best corners difference indicator, even ahead of Barcelona. Sevilla goes second on home taken corners after Real Madrid (should be admitted that Real Madrid supervised one more match). Sevilla takes on average 7.29 corners and let opponents take 4.71 corners a game.

Villarreal looks awfully on away taken corners: there were 1 win and 10 defeats. The team is in the third place from the end of the table on corners which they allow to take opponents – the hosts of the field. Worse than Villarreal are only Valencia and Malaga. Should admit that in last 4 of 6 away games Villarreal’s encounters took 9 or more corners and Villarreal’s team could only once take more than 3 corners. Average results on corners are slightly better at away: Villarreal took on average 4 corners, on the other hand, their encounters took 7.31 corners per game.

 Let’s look at handicap on corners.  Handicap -3 on Sevilla estimates 1.8 odds at Bet365.

Villarreal has the worst indicator among all Primera teams on corners difference at away. Their opponents take on average 3.31 corners more than Villarreal. Valencia and Eibar are similar to Villarreal on this indicator. If you look at how Sevilla played with these opponents than you will see that this handicap was confidently covered (lately in Sevilla-Eibar match Sevilla took on 6 more corners and in Valencia match the benefit was enormous 17-0)

 So, in my opinion, bet on minus handicap is quite reasonable.